Week 10: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins

Finally, in the first game of the second half of the 2007 season, the Bills get to play the winless Dolphins. The game will take place in sunny warm Miami. This is the first game of the season where the Bills are expected to win easily. I hate to say it, but this looks an awful lot like the Monday nighter where Dallas came into Buffalo, only Buffalo is in the role of Dallas this time. It’s on the road, next week is a big game against New England (just like Dallas), and the Bills are expected to win.

week10.pngSo what needs to happen for Buffalo to walk away 5-4? They need to make a call to Bill Belichick and find out how to turn their brains into relentless scoring machines. I look at games like this one similar to the way a 5 on 4 basketball game works. The undermanned team has a big mental advantage, because they’re supposed to lose. The team with 5 tends to relax, figuring they’re bound to win. Oft times the shorthanded team ends up winning due to effort.

Buffalo has to come into this game with respect for Miami. The Dolphins are desperate for a win right now. They’re coming off a bye week and will be in front of their home crowd for the first time in 3 weeks. Their last home game was against New England where they got blown out, but managed to put up 28 points. Cleo Lemon seems to be a pretty mobile quarterback that could cause some problems for the Bills.

This game, like all Buffalo games this season, has its share of big injuries. The biggest seems to be the absence of Zach Thomas, Miami’s star linebacker. He’s been dealing with migraines after sustaining a concussion earlier this year. That is news you don’t want to hear about anybody, so I hope he can get rested up and get back to his pro bowl form soon. Miami’s star running back, Ronnie Brown is out for the season. Trent Green is also gone. Without those two guys, the Dolphins’ offense is really hurting. On Buffalo’s side of things, Aaron Schobel is questionable with an illness. WRs Roscoe Parrish and Josh Reed are also questionable for the game.

The good news for the Bills is that Marshawn Lynch, Lee Evans, and JP Losman are all feeling great and playing great. This really ought to be a game where all three of them can put up their best numbers of the season. If the Bills can stay mentally focused, I expect a nice, relatively easy win.

Prediction: Buffalo 34 | Miami 13

Related: Bills/Dolphins: What to Watch For
Game Day Tipsheet: Week 10
Schobel, Reed miss Friday practice, questionable